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INVESTMENT THESIS & PROCESS

Shopping Center Current State of Affairs

The supply of shopping center space suitable for today’s expanding retailers has fallen significantly over the past 4+ years due to a number of factors:

COVID-19

Paused, delayed, canceled pipeline projects

SUPPLY CHAIN

Delayed, canceled, caused-to-fail active projects

INFLATION

Drove construction costs up dramatically making projects financially infeasible

INTEREST RATES

Drove up equity requirements, drove down sale capitalization rates grinding new construction to a halt

All of these factors have paused, delayed, or canceled pipeline projects across the country.  As a result:

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  • Quality options for tenant spaces in the 20k-40k SF size range are in extremely low supply.  

  • Small and medium size spaces cannot be cost effectively built new due to increased construction costs, land costs, and the current interest rate environment.

  • As a result of the tight supply, landlords offering smaller tenant spaces can realize faster lease-ups spending half the time on market than average and command a premium price per square foot.

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