INVESTMENT THESIS & PROCESS
Shopping Center Current State of Affairs
The supply of shopping center space suitable for today’s expanding retailers has fallen significantly over the past 4+ years due to a number of factors:
COVID-19
Paused, delayed, canceled pipeline projects
SUPPLY CHAIN
Delayed, canceled, caused-to-fail active projects
INFLATION
Drove construction costs up dramatically making projects financially infeasible
INTEREST RATES
Drove up equity requirements, drove down sale capitalization rates grinding new construction to a halt
All of these factors have paused, delayed, or canceled pipeline projects across the country. As a result:
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Quality options for tenant spaces in the 20k-40k SF size range are in extremely low supply.
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Small and medium size spaces cannot be cost effectively built new due to increased construction costs, land costs, and the current interest rate environment.
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As a result of the tight supply, landlords offering smaller tenant spaces can realize faster lease-ups spending half the time on market than average and command a premium price per square foot.